Wednesday, March 9, 2016

USA Race to Rio: Pre-Indian Wells Olympics Update

Please note that this table doesn't include the qualifying for Indian Wells. For my previous Road to Rio posts, see here and here. - Jonathan

There are only three months to go until the cut-off for the 2016 US Olympic team, but there is LOTS of tennis left to be played. To start we have Indian Well, Miami, Charleston, and Houston; then come Monte Carlo, Stuttgart, Madrid, and Rome; and then we end with the French Open -- which, so long as a player is still in the draw, she or he is theoretically alive for a spot on the team.

On the women's side, Serena and Venus Williams used an Australian Open final and a Kaohsiung title, respectively, to put even more distance on the field at the #1 and #2 spots. The big news was Sloane Stephens' two titles, which helped her leapfrogged Keys for the #3 spot and helped Vandeweghe (325 points), Lepchenko (526), Brengle (663), and the rest even farther back of a potential spot in Rio. It will take a big run at a tournament or two from someone (or an injury) to narrow the gap.

As for the men, it was a great first couple of months for two players: Sam Querrey, who passed Denis Kudla for fourth place, and Taylor Fritz, who vaulted from 10th to sixth. Querrey's win over Fritz in the Acapulco quarterfinals gave him a 308 point lead over the surging youngster.

Meanwhile, with a 740 point lead on second place Jack, John Isner is almost certainly a lock. Sock, Steve Johnson, and Querrey are less than 100 points apart in the 2-4 spots, and all are over 250 points ahead of Kudla. This means that for any of the as-of-now also-rans to catch up, they'd need to win the equivalent of a Houston *and* do a little better than one of the players ahead of them.

See the full database of Americans in the Top 200 and where they stand in their respective races. I believe these are correct, but if you see anything wrong please let me know in comments!




Race to Rio - USA Women as of March 6, 2016
Player
Race to Rio points
03/06/2016
1. S. Williams
5360
2. V. Williams
2743
3. Stephens
1467
4. Keys
1421
5. Vandeweghe
1096
6. Lepchenko
895
7. Brengle
758
8. McHale
728
9. Mattek-Sands
687
10. Gibbs
675

Race to Rio - USA Men as of March 6, 2016
Player
Race to Rio points
03/06/2016
1. Isner
1780
2. Sock
1040
3. Johnson
1026
4. Querrey
965
5. Kudla
680
6. Fritz
657
7. Ram
622
8. Young
591
9. Krajicek
416
10. Smyczek
369

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