There are only three months to go until the cut-off for the 2016 US Olympic team, but there is LOTS of tennis left to be played. To start we have Indian Well, Miami, Charleston, and Houston; then come Monte Carlo, Stuttgart, Madrid, and Rome; and then we end with the French Open -- which, so long as a player is still in the draw, she or he is theoretically alive for a spot on the team.
On the women's side, Serena and Venus Williams used an Australian Open final and a Kaohsiung title, respectively, to put even more distance on the field at the #1 and #2 spots. The big news was Sloane Stephens' two titles, which helped her leapfrogged Keys for the #3 spot and helped Vandeweghe (325 points), Lepchenko (526), Brengle (663), and the rest even farther back of a potential spot in Rio. It will take a big run at a tournament or two from someone (or an injury) to narrow the gap.
As for the men, it was a great first couple of months for two players: Sam Querrey, who passed Denis Kudla for fourth place, and Taylor Fritz, who vaulted from 10th to sixth. Querrey's win over Fritz in the Acapulco quarterfinals gave him a 308 point lead over the surging youngster.
Meanwhile, with a 740 point lead on second place Jack, John Isner is almost certainly a lock. Sock, Steve Johnson, and Querrey are less than 100 points apart in the 2-4 spots, and all are over 250 points ahead of Kudla. This means that for any of the as-of-now also-rans to catch up, they'd need to win the equivalent of a Houston *and* do a little better than one of the players ahead of them.
See the full database of Americans in the Top 200 and where they stand in their respective races. I believe these are correct, but if you see anything wrong please let me know in comments!
Player
|
Race to
Rio points
03/06/2016
|
1. S. Williams
|
5360
|
2. V. Williams
|
2743
|
3. Stephens
|
1467
|
4. Keys
|
1421
|
5. Vandeweghe
|
1096
|
6. Lepchenko
|
895
|
7. Brengle
|
758
|
8. McHale
|
728
|
9. Mattek-Sands
|
687
|
10. Gibbs
|
675
|
Race to Rio - USA Men as of March 6, 2016
Player
|
Race to
Rio points
03/06/2016
|
1. Isner
|
1780
|
2. Sock
|
1040
|
3. Johnson
|
1026
|
4. Querrey
|
965
|
5. Kudla
|
680
|
6. Fritz
|
657
|
7. Ram
|
622
|
8. Young
|
591
|
9. Krajicek
|
416
|
10. Smyczek
|
369
|
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